feat: introduce _iqtree_states.csv for compact symbol mapping
Generates a new CSV output that maps IQ-TREE's compact state symbols to canonical states alongside full-precision empirical frequencies. Updates documentation to clarify that state frequencies sum to 1.0 by design and documents conditional behavior under `--free-loss`. Includes unit tests verifying absent state exclusion, frequency summation, and CSV structure. Also restricts entropy annex resolution to non-monomorphic minorants to eliminate redundant per-genome checks.
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@@ -2051,13 +2051,28 @@ but indexed by <code>family_idx</code> (every minorant of the layer, monomorphic
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included — the same numbering <code>Selection</code>/<code>scan_layer_families</code> already
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use), one <code>f32</code> entropy15 value per entry, <code>-1.0</code> sentinel for monomorphic/
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not-yet-computed. First use of <code>--entropy</code>/<code>--entropy-sd</code> on an index
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pays a one-time cost (<code>ensure_entropy_annexes</code> in <code>entropy.rs</code>: a full,
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unsampled <code>Selection::All</code> scan, resolving every non-monomorphic
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minorant's <code>genome_mask</code> once to compute and persist its entropy) — every
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pays a one-time cost (<code>ensure_entropy_annexes</code> in <code>entropy.rs</code>) — every
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later run (any <code>μ</code>/<code>σ</code>, any command) reads the file positionally, no
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re-scan, restoring the usual <code>Selection::Some</code> "skip resolving excluded
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families" speedup that a naive "weigh during the resolving scan" design
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would have permanently forfeited.</p>
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<p><strong>Bug found and fixed (2026-08-15): <code>ensure_entropy_annexes</code> scanned with
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<code>Selection::All</code> instead of bounding to non-monomorphic minorants.</strong>
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Monomorphism (<code>family_size() < 2</code>) is knowable directly from the annex
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bits alone, no per-genome resolution needed — but the original
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implementation called <code>scan_layer_families</code> with <code>Selection::All</code>
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anyway, so <code>fill_sub_matrix_carries</code> (the expensive per-genome
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resolution) ran for <em>every</em> minorant, ~98% of which are monomorphic
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(measured elsewhere in this doc) and had their <code>genome_mask</code> immediately
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discarded once the callback checked <code>family_size() < 2</code>. Fixed by adding
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[<code>subsample::non_monomorphic_selection_layer</code>] — a cheap, annex-only,
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non-sampling pass (same shape as <code>reservoir_sample_layer</code>, but keeping
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every non-monomorphic minorant's <code>family_idx</code> instead of a bounded
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reservoir) — and passing <code>Selection::Some(&eligible)</code> instead of
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<code>Selection::All</code>, so the expensive resolution now runs only for the ~2%
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of minorants that can actually produce a real entropy value. A
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<code>debug_assert!(mask.family_size() >= 2, ...)</code> inside the
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<code>scan_layer_families</code> callback guards the invariant.</p>
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<p><strong>Resolved</strong>: the existing hard "non-monomorphic minorant" eligibility
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filter stays a hard gate upstream of the Gaussian weighting — only
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qualifying families ever get a stored entropy value or a weighted draw.</p>
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@@ -887,6 +887,17 @@
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<a href="#_iqtree_statescsv-compact-symbol-traceability-2026-08-15" class="md-nav__link">
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<span class="md-ellipsis">
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_iqtree_states.csv: compact-symbol traceability (2026-08-15)
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@@ -2095,6 +2106,17 @@
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<a href="#_iqtree_statescsv-compact-symbol-traceability-2026-08-15" class="md-nav__link">
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<span class="md-ellipsis">
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_iqtree_states.csv: compact-symbol traceability (2026-08-15)
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@@ -4048,6 +4070,42 @@ with a different taxon count crashes with <code>Assertion 'i >= 0 &&
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the old leaf count onto the new, smaller alignment. Not an <code>obikmer</code> bug;
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avoid by using a fresh <code>--prefix</code> (or <code>-redo</code>) whenever the underlying
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alignment's taxon set changes, never <code>--undo</code> across them.</p>
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<h2 id="_iqtree_statescsv-compact-symbol-traceability-2026-08-15"><code>_iqtree_states.csv</code>: compact-symbol traceability (2026-08-15)</h2>
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<p>User-reported suspicion: <code>--iqtree --free-loss</code> state frequencies "don't
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sum to 1". Verified both by code trace and unit test
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(<code>obikmer/src/cmd/phylo/iqtree.rs</code>, <code>free_loss_excludes_absent_state_and_freq_sums_to_one</code>)
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— <strong>not a bug</strong>: <code>compact_alphabet</code>'s counting loop <code>continue</code>s on
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<code>free_loss && b == b'-'</code> <em>before</em> recoding/counting, so the absent state
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never enters <code>occurs</code>/<code>counts</code>, and <code>freq[i] = counts[old]/total</code> sums to
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1.0 by construction (<code>total</code> is defined as the sum over exactly the same
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states). Confirmed against real data the user provided: a pasted
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<code>_iqtree.model</code> frequency line summed to <code>1.000001</code> — a 6-decimal
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print-rounding artifact (<code>format!("{p:.6}")</code> × 15 values), not a
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computation error; IQ-TREE's own 3-decimal-rounded report of the same
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values summed to exactly <code>1.000</code>.</p>
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<p>Investigating that report surfaced a real, separate gap: nothing mapped
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<code>_iqtree.model</code>/<code>_iqtree.fasta</code>'s compact state symbols (<code>0-9A-F</code>, IQ-TREE
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renumbers away unused states from the full 16, see this module's own
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"<code>--iqtree</code>... state count" discussion) back to the canonical 16-state
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alphabet (<code>STATE_SYMBOL</code>, <code>sankoff.rs</code>) — so a pattern like "compact state
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0 has zero exchangeability with every other state" (<code>R(a,b) =
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exp(-cost(a,b)) = 0</code> for an entire row/column) couldn't be traced back to
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which real state that was, or whether it was expected (a state combination
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that was simply never observed alongside anything else in the calibration
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data, giving <code>cost = -ln(0) = +∞</code>) or a genuine problem.</p>
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<p><strong>Fix</strong>: <code>write_iqtree_states_csv</code> (<code>iqtree.rs</code>) writes
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<code><prefix>_iqtree_states.csv</code> — one row per surviving state,
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<code>iqtree_symbol,canonical_symbol,frequency</code>, frequency at full <code>f64</code>
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precision (not the model file's truncated 6 decimals). Written alongside
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<code>_iqtree.model</code>/<code>_iqtree.fasta</code> from the same <code>CompactAlphabet</code> both
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already use, so there is no risk of the three files disagreeing. Covered
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by <code>states_csv_maps_compact_symbols_back_to_canonical_ones</code>.</p>
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<p>The zero-exchangeability pattern itself (state 0 in the user's report,
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frequency 3.26%, <code>R=0</code> with every other state) is not yet explained —
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plausibly a genuinely unobserved transition in the calibration
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(<code>cardinality_transitions</code>/<code>composition_transitions</code> count <code>0</code> for every
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pair involving it), which is a legitimate, if numerically extreme, result
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of <code>-ln(0)</code>, not necessarily a bug — not investigated further.</p>
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<h2 id="references">References</h2>
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<p>The Mash mutation-rate model this discussion contrasts with:
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(Fan <em>et al.</em> 2015; Marbl Lab 2026)<sup id="fnref:Mash-distances-doc"><a class="footnote-ref" href="#fn:Mash-distances-doc">1</a></sup> <sup id="fnref:Fan2015-mash-formula"><a class="footnote-ref" href="#fn:Fan2015-mash-formula">2</a></sup>.</p>
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